All times are adjusted ratings, which are calculated based on time relative to other runners in race.
Team Adjusted Rating is the team rating with runners missing from that race added back in.
Cells with NEI means there was not enough info to calculate adjusted ranking for that race.
Runners with red highlighting have not run recently and are not in the tournament simulation.
| Season Rating | | Preseason Rating | |
Dennis Bays Invitational |
Rick Weinheimer Classic |
Eagle Classic |
Conference Indiana |
Lincoln Trail Invitational |
Nike XC Town Twilight |
Brown County Sectional |
Mater Dei Regional |
State Finals |
|---|
| Date | | |
8/26 |
9/2 |
9/9 |
9/16 |
9/23 |
9/30 |
10/14 |
10/21 |
10/28 |
| Team Rating |
310 | |
408 |
383 |
407 |
475 |
404 |
355 |
333 |
325 |
321 |
| Team Adjusted Rating | | |
408 |
383 |
407 |
379 |
404 |
355 |
333 |
325 |
321 |
|
| State Rank | Runner | | Season Rating | Preseason Rating |
Dennis Bays Invitational |
Rick Weinheimer Classic |
Eagle Classic |
Conference Indiana |
Lincoln Trail Invitational |
Nike XC Town Twilight |
Brown County Sectional |
Mater Dei Regional |
State Finals |
|---|
| 35 |
Carys Glen-Jones |
11 |
19:04 |
21:53 |
20:24 |
20:11 |
20:46 |
|
20:47 |
21:05 |
19:41 |
19:09 |
18:56 |
| 76 |
Kyleigh Wolf |
11 |
19:36 |
20:03 |
20:22 |
19:55 |
20:34 |
20:43 |
19:41 |
19:37 |
19:38 |
19:25 |
20:13 |
| 125 |
Ainsley Sherlock |
10 |
19:54 |
19:57 |
20:24 |
20:22 |
20:06 |
20:20 |
19:58 |
19:35 |
20:04 |
19:58 |
19:45 |
| 266 |
Macy Eaton |
11 |
20:42 |
20:56 |
20:28 |
20:36 |
20:57 |
20:51 |
21:08 |
20:33 |
20:27 |
20:31 |
21:27 |
| 270 |
Emma Lowther |
9 |
20:43 |
|
20:49 |
21:48 |
21:02 |
21:16 |
20:50 |
20:37 |
20:47 |
21:10 |
20:34 |
| 310 |
Tristan Works |
9 |
20:51 |
|
21:37 |
20:45 |
20:21 |
20:34 |
20:48 |
20:49 |
20:49 |
21:34 |
20:46 |
| 401 |
Lana Wisler |
10 |
21:13 |
20:48 |
|
21:55 |
21:10 |
21:11 |
|
20:52 |
|
23:37 |
|
| 434 |
Lydia Weed |
12 |
21:23 |
23:10 |
21:07 |
21:06 |
21:59 |
21:33 |
21:08 |
21:22 |
|
|
|
| 456 |
Kenzie Meyer |
12 |
21:26 |
21:05 |
21:04 |
21:25 |
20:38 |
21:48 |
21:34 |
21:33 |
|
|
|
| 458 |
Katie Frazier |
11 |
21:27 |
21:07 |
20:51 |
21:03 |
21:18 |
21:42 |
22:01 |
20:43 |
21:29 |
|
21:47 |
| 500 |
Maggie Russell |
11 |
21:33 |
21:23 |
21:12 |
21:02 |
21:17 |
21:37 |
21:44 |
21:58 |
|
|
|
| 516 |
Kenzie Pendleton |
12 |
21:35 |
21:12 |
21:22 |
21:18 |
21:46 |
21:55 |
21:27 |
21:27 |
|
|
|
| 581 |
Adira Sluder |
9 |
21:45 |
|
21:13 |
21:39 |
21:25 |
22:18 |
21:32 |
22:03 |
|
|
|
| 731 |
Reece Peeples |
9 |
22:05 |
|
|
23:08 |
21:32 |
21:42 |
22:23 |
22:03 |
|
|
|
| 810 |
Andi Carothers |
9 |
22:15 |
|
|
22:16 |
22:37 |
22:09 |
21:57 |
22:12 |
|
|
|
| 953 |
Caylyn Pruitt |
12 |
22:39 |
23:03 |
|
22:32 |
22:58 |
22:17 |
22:37 |
22:43 |
|
|
|
| 1,031 |
Wendy Zhong |
9 |
22:48 |
|
|
22:01 |
21:57 |
24:06 |
22:55 |
23:02 |
|
|
|
| 1,144 |
Rebecca Simon |
10 |
23:05 |
22:48 |
|
24:00 |
22:42 |
22:26 |
24:08 |
22:53 |
|
|
|
| 1,312 |
Mckynze Contratto |
9 |
23:27 |
|
|
23:39 |
23:17 |
23:25 |
22:38 |
23:56 |
|
|
|
|
Brooklyn Donner |
9 |
23:41 |
|
|
24:10 |
23:39 |
23:26 |
23:46 |
23:25 |
|
|
|
IHSAA Tournament Simulation
Based on results of 2,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament.
Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.
Team Results
| Advances to Round | Avg Finish | Avg Score |
Finishing Place |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
| State Finals |
100% |
14.5 |
373 |
|
|
|
|
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.5 |
1.2 |
3.2 |
5.4 |
8.1 |
10.0 |
11.3 |
11.6 |
10.8 |
9.5 |
9.3 |
7.2 |
5.4 |
3.2 |
2.1 |
1.3 |
0.1 |
|
0.1 |
| Regionals |
100% |
1.9 |
89 |
16.4 |
79.8 |
3.4 |
0.4 |
0.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Sectionals |
100% |
1.0 |
28 |
99.8 |
0.3 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Individual Results
Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance.
Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team advanced.
| State Meet | Advances to Round | Avg Finish |
Finishing Place |
| Indv No Team | Indv |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
| Carys Glen-Jones |
100% |
34.3 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.3 |
0.7 |
0.5 |
0.6 |
1.1 |
0.6 |
1.4 |
1.4 |
2.1 |
1.7 |
2.0 |
2.1 |
2.4 |
2.4 |
2.2 |
|
100.0% |
| Kyleigh Wolf |
100% |
79.9 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.1 |
|
100.0% |
| Ainsley Sherlock |
100% |
119.6 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
96.5% |
| Macy Eaton |
100% |
196.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
14.5% |
| Emma Lowther |
100% |
196.8 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
12.5% |
| Tristan Works |
100% |
206.3 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
4.8% |
| Lana Wisler |
100% |
224.4 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.1% |
| Regionals | Advances to Round | Avg Finish |
Finishing Place |
| Indv No Team | Indv |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
| Carys Glen-Jones |
100% |
4.4 |
1.3 |
11.0 |
14.2 |
16.6 |
16.1 |
12.9 |
8.7 |
7.3 |
5.3 |
2.9 |
2.3 |
1.2 |
0.3 |
0.2 |
0.2 |
|
0.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100.0% |
| Kyleigh Wolf |
100% |
11.5 |
|
0.2 |
0.5 |
0.6 |
1.4 |
2.2 |
4.1 |
7.1 |
8.5 |
9.8 |
10.3 |
10.3 |
10.0 |
8.3 |
7.1 |
5.7 |
3.9 |
2.9 |
2.1 |
2.3 |
1.4 |
0.9 |
0.4 |
0.3 |
0.1 |
|
100.0% |
| Ainsley Sherlock |
100% |
16.7 |
|
|
|
|
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.4 |
0.5 |
1.3 |
2.1 |
3.6 |
5.6 |
6.3 |
7.5 |
8.1 |
8.9 |
8.3 |
9.4 |
8.2 |
8.3 |
5.4 |
4.1 |
3.4 |
2.6 |
1.9 |
|
100.0% |
| Macy Eaton |
100% |
35.6 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
0.1 |
0.4 |
0.4 |
0.7 |
0.8 |
1.1 |
1.7 |
2.4 |
|
100.0% |
| Emma Lowther |
100% |
36.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.1 |
|
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.4 |
0.4 |
0.6 |
1.1 |
1.9 |
1.9 |
|
100.0% |
| Tristan Works |
100% |
40.5 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.1 |
|
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.2 |
0.3 |
0.7 |
0.5 |
|
100.0% |
| Lana Wisler |
100% |
52.2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.1 |
|
|
|
100.0% |
| Sectionals | Avg Finish |
Finishing Place |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
| Carys Glen-Jones |
1.0 |
74.7 |
19.3 |
5.8 |
0.4 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Kyleigh Wolf |
3.2 |
0.6 |
15.0 |
27.0 |
42.1 |
12.7 |
2.4 |
0.4 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Ainsley Sherlock |
4.6 |
|
1.0 |
4.8 |
15.6 |
49.2 |
21.8 |
6.5 |
1.0 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Macy Eaton |
9.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
2.5 |
7.9 |
20.8 |
19.1 |
17.8 |
14.1 |
9.8 |
6.7 |
1.6 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Emma Lowther |
9.2 |
|
|
|
|
|
2.4 |
7.9 |
17.4 |
18.3 |
19.1 |
16.0 |
11.2 |
6.9 |
0.9 |
0.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Tristan Works |
10.5 |
|
|
|
|
|
0.6 |
2.7 |
6.7 |
12.9 |
17.9 |
20.2 |
17.6 |
16.6 |
4.5 |
0.4 |
0.2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Lana Wisler |
13.2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.6 |
1.8 |
5.1 |
10.3 |
19.5 |
52.8 |
7.2 |
1.9 |
0.4 |
0.3 |
0.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
